Unscrupulous Loan

Pretty good if your investigator uses his or her ill-gotten gains from the Loan to gain some connections. Instantly granting a +2 to every Well Connected activation is no joke. And if you're playing WC, chances are that your deck is built to maintain a huge pile of resources throughout a scenario, which helps ensure that Unscrupulous Loan never gets exiled.

ClownShoes · 161
Written in the Stars

It's obvious that Written in the Stars is good for Norman, but in this review, I'll talk about other seeker investigators.

This ability is very powerful if you discard good skill card which works during investigation: Deduction, Perception, or Eureka!. Currently, most seekers can perform 4 investigation actions for a turn thanks to Eon Chart & Ariadne's Twine. It means that Deduction gives 4-8 additional clues, Perception gives 4-8 cards, and Eureka! gives approx. 4 cards with searching. The problem is that we don't know the top card of deck. There is some supporting card in , but how about taboo-ed Scroll of Secrets (3)? We have 3 chances to check the top of the deck.

Additionally, Amanda is another investigator who considers this card without any supporting cards. Commonly, she contains lots of skill cards which work during investigation: Deduction, Perception, Eureka, Unrelenting, or Leadership. With her investigator ability, she commits 2 cards at each investigations. Additionally, most cards in her deck has or icon, so that even if we play Written in the Star without checking deck, discarded card could support the investigation; of course, little deck tuning may be needed. In my case, very few cards contains no-: Hiking Boots, Death • XIII, Cryptic Research, Pathfinder, Forewarned, Shortcut(0), Mr. "Rook".... Even if those card is discarded, it's not critical for Amanda; it's because deck tempo of Amanda is fast enough to cycle your deck.

elkeinkrad · 496
Short Supply

To round out the cycle of 'mash a calculator a bunch to help you make decisions with cards' reviews, here is a mathematical analysis of the odds of this card single handedly bricking your deck by removing all copies of a critical card.

TL;DR: They are very low unless you are being a dummy about it. Very good in decks that already have recursion.

Your odds of failing to find a copy of a two of card in your deck if you ‘hard mulligan’ for them (That is, discard any card that is not a copy of said card) are 45%. If you fail to find that pair, the odds that short supply will hit both copies in the initial 10 discards are 18%. Y This means your odds of bricking a scavenging deck with this are about 5%, meaning it should happen about 1 in 20 games. Unlikely but still possible, and if your muligain policy isn’t that biased towards your copy of scavenging or whatever, it gets worse.

Once you add in one secondary way to recur the card you want (maybe you are already running resourceful+true survivor, or maybe you splash resourceful in with scavenger), your odds of failing to find either on your initial mulligan are 19%, and after that the odds both the primary tool you want and the way you recur it are only 1%. That means you being without any way to get your scavenging back should only happen about 1 in 150 games.

After that, the odds of things blowing up in your face become infinitesimally small (your odds of nuking all copies of something you have 5 redundant copies of is less than 1 in 1000, for example, you won’t be playing with short supply decks enough times in your arkham horror career to EVER see it).

Which is kinda funny, because it makes this probably the most stable and generally useful ‘mucking with your deck’s probability’ cards of the EOTE cards, as long as your deck values discard recursion. Not every survivor is going to run it, but it is far more broadly useful than Forced Learning and doesn’t attempt to create an entirely new archetype like Underworld Support or Gear Up. It is just… really REALLY good in any deck that runs multiple recursion tools already.

So just slap scavenging, resourceful, and scrounge for supplies to do your deck, like you wanted to do anyway because they are just good survivor cards, and your set, easy peasy, short supply is a mindless auto-include if you run any level of recursion because it basically gives you a second hand, right?

Well, obviously this math becomes much more brutal if you have tools you CAN’T recur. Suddenly any tool you can’t hard mulligan for is going to have both of its copies in the bin 20% of the time. It becomes impossible to have redundancy for some things: Items and skills are easy, but allies, events, and other intangible assets are much harder, and so for every duo you slot into your deck, you are rolling 20% odds of just not seeing them again. This means once a campaign you may just not have a card key to your deck. This means while this card set is very good you should ideally already be planning to recur things a little bit, and be very aware of what you can and can’t recur in your deck. Pete Sylvester is still totally fine if you already run a recursion package because you can scoop him back up with resourceful, but you have no tools to get back say… your Beat Cop (2) if you are playing Tommy. So maybe don’t play this if you use a ton of non-survivor non-item cards of a level higher than one: it isn't gunna be ideal for event based Preston or ally based Tommy, Agnes almost certainly doesn't want this, ect. Even if you already are running recursion tech, this will do damage to your deck a significant enough time to not be worth it for those characters. You are looking at primary red+Minh and Bob as candidates for this to toss into a scavenging deck.

Also, this is really not a great way of avoiding your bad signature weakness. In 1/3rd of scenarios you play, this will nuke it, but in the other 2/3rds you will see it faster. So maybe don’t play it in say… Wendy where all this does is cause you to lose control of what cards you are exposing to the risk of getting nuked. It may also be a bit spooky if your weakness is one you might struggle with if you draw it early, and it can exacerbate basic weaknesses that can shuffle into your deck as well.

dezzmont · 222
Also to state the obvious, while you can use resourceful to get back what got milled, it means you can't use resourceful to recur some other card that you'd like to play twice. — suika · 9506
Correct, though if you are running Short Supply you almost are certainly running recursive recursion (Either you just ARE Yorick, your running infinite true survivor, you are scavenging, or any combo) so losing out on a resourceful matters a lot less. If you AREN'T running recursive recursion this card will be a problem. — dezzmont · 222
A friend of mine is currently running this in Agnes, with Scavenging (mainly for the Item traited skills "Heirloom of Hyperborea" and "Relic of Ages") and Prescient, and is quite contend with it. What sold him to this card was the option, to possibly discard "Dark Memory" with it. — Susumu · 381
In a vacuum, the chances to discard a particular weakness (except obviously a Tarot weakness) is slightly higher than to discard any other particular card. Because, you discard after you have already drawn your starting hand. In Agnes, these ten cards you discarded could as well be at the bottom of your deck and not been seen the whole game. So, you should still have a workable deck without them. — Susumu · 381
That said, albeit I argue on some you had wrote, it is a good review! Gave you my heart. — Susumu · 381
I am sure there are Agnes or Tommy decks that can use it, but in your 'average' one it is a bit more dangerous because the portion of cards that are 'misses' in their deck they can't really recur and rather would like to keep is higher. The odds of discarding your weakness are higher than any other individual card, this is true, but part of the reason to do the statistical analysis is to show things that the human mind naturally doesn't latch onto, because its bad at statistics. In this case, it shows that, unintuitively, despite the fact you are more likely to lose your weakness than your signature, at the end of the day you still will fail to lose your weakness much more often than you do, and it is important to keep that in mind when decision making! SOMETIMES losing your weakness, and other times getting it much earlier, is going to be good for some characters and an absolute dealbreaker for others: Agnes getting it early means she probably can just toss it in an 'early witching hour.' — dezzmont · 222
@dezzmont Agnes's Dark Memory can cause the Agenda to advance. — anaphysik · 98
It also bears stating that this card can mean the difference between seeing your weakness once, and seeing it twice if you're running a deck that's capable of drawing more than 20 cards over a scenario. — suika · 9506
Dream Diary

This card is insane with Amanda, I always take 2 copys, no matter what.

It gives you a free card every turn. A card that she can commit under her, or unto test at her leisure. She can't commit it under her unless she starts the investigation phase with it, but it's still really good.

When I build with this card, I run it with charisma,so I can have both Dr. Milan and laboratory assistant, And arcane enlightenment, so I have a max hand size of 11, and 2 free hand slots for mag. glass. It works really well when it's the mythos phase, and you come across a test you aren't prepared for, commit a ???? Essence, pass that test, and watch with glee as it returns to your hand when your next turn starts.

Stupid bonkers, I love it.

You can take two books, but you can only ever have 1 copy of the bonded "Essense" card per investigator. I'd rather save my XP. It is not like Amanda has card draw issues anyway, I normally cycle an Amanda deck 2 or 3 times a scenario so I rarely have trouble without it. She makes a self-milling deck easily with the strong synergy with Dream Enchancing Serum. — Antiundead · 31
Crafty

This is a great supplement to Chuck Fergus centered decks. Helps you play that style if both copies of Chuck are in the bottom half of your deck. Let's you choose all three options when both it and Chuck are in play. It makes investigating with flashlights and lockpicks a breeze. Maybe those monster successes let you use upgraded cig case to find you Chuck.

3rdEyeGuy · 3